Gameweek 34 is upon us. From our seat, we continue to think most managers have setup for this by wildcarding in 32 and setting themselves up for a massive bench boost haul in in 34. With that being said, our recommendation here is to maximize the number of double gameweek players even in the event of swapping a DGW player over a single-gameweek player at a -4.
We would prefer to bring in a player who plays twice over keeping a player who has a decent chance of keeping a clean for one week. In our experience, an average player nets about ~3pts per game week. We would rather trade up for a player who is going to play all 180 minutes with the expectation of upside than a player with a favorable fixture and only 90 minutes.
That being said, we are only looking at players from DGW this week. BHA, CHE, LEI, MUN, SOT, TOT, BUR, BOU.
Morata, Lukaku (c), Kane,
Son, Willian, Gross, Mahrez,
Alonso, Smalling, Morgan
In terms of forwards, there’s actually very little to talk about here. Morata, Lukaku, and Kane are expected to be among the premium choices. One could swap Vardy for any of those players and be happily setup. Chelsea have found themselves in a terrible run of form, having underperformed expectations under Conte in recent weeks.
One will wonder if winning a title is enough to provide immunity and the answer is probably not (just ask Ranieri). Chelsea go up against Palace and Burnley this week in what is expected to be one of the better DGW setups for this weekend. Should Morata play both matches, we’d expect a fair amount of points from the Spanaird.
Lukaku still steals our armband given the complete nailed-ness with United’s positive momentum coming off a huge win against City last weekend. Lukaku and Co are solely focused on inflicting as much pain on others as possible at this point while still putting up a very good performance this season in ABSOLUTE terms (United have done exceptional and would win the league in most circumstances where a super City team did not exist). We include Kane in our DGW squad with the asterisk that he has seen limited minutes, is playing City, is expensive, and is probably not the best pick for armbands this week (Vardy provides cheaper access to funding).
In midfield, Son, Willian, Gross, and Mahrez are our favorites. Alli/Eriksen/Son feel fungible at this point with all contributing in different ways to the Tottenham offense. The task against City remains difficult to face, but the side will be focused on racking up points while helping Harry raise his statistics toward the golden boot. Willian, Gross, and Mahrez have all proven themselves to be offensive minded players while being heavily involved in their teams offensive plans.
In defense, we really like the prospects at Chelsea and United. While Alonso is our sole top pick among the litany of defensive options (he has not done much recently from an FPL perspective but that should not count too heavily against him), we like the idea of including a double-United defensive+goalkeeper. Our only struggle in that scenario is picking the United defender who is likely to start both weeks. Valencia is nailed while Smalling, Jones, and Bailly could face rotation. It remains to be seen who is going to play the full 180 minutes over both weeks.