With GW28 in the rear-view mirror, we look at options for a quick turn into GW29. Look at matchups, our favorite fixtures are: Leicester vs. Bournemouth, Tottenham vs. Huddersfield, Liverpool vs. Newcastle, Brighton vs. Arsenal, and Palace vs. United.
Up front we like Firmino, Kane (c), and Vardy. Firmino and Liverpool continue to fire on all cylinders. With a convincing 4-1 win over West Ham, the side continues to march on, chasing the 2pt gap between themselves and United. This week, they go up against a limited Newcastle United side which is still fighting its own relegation battles. While the side sits at 15th, we note that there is very little cushion and the battle to stay within the league has become much more interesting than the battle for the title. From Everton (9th) to Stoke (19th) there are only 8 points between the two sides suggesting that the next 10 weeks are going to be haywire for at-risk relegation sides. In any case, Liverpool should easily win this game given it is at home and there will likely be plenty of opportunities for Salah and Co to put away additional points for FPL managers (Firmino, Salah, and Mane all had nice returns this week). Liverpool are undefeated in their last 16 home matches and there have been over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of Liverpool’s last 11 games. Additionally, Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches.
Kane takes our armband given the easy fixture against Huddersfield. Tottenham are undefeated in their last 13 home matches, and this looks like one of those games where Harry could just put away 3 goals. In their performance against Palace, Kane was the man of the match leading with 6 shorts. While he only managed to find the back of the net once, he had several chances where the scoreline could have easily been 3-0. We will await the results of the side’s midweek match vs. Rochdale. If Tottenham are expected to have a match on GW31, Harry is a must have.
Vardy rounds out our forwards. Leicester are undefeated in their last 5 home matches and will look to redeem themselves after a disappointing draw against Stoke. While on paper the scoreline read even, we would note that Leicester had 20 shots vs. 6 by Stoke. With Mahrez back in the mix, we expect Vardy’s performance to only improve.
In midfield, Salah, Sanchez, Alli, and Mkhitaryan round out our favorites for this week. Salah remains consistent as ever, netting goals, providing assists and leading a side which is taking down opponents with heavy score lines. Liverpool’s offense continues to makeup for its deficiencies at the back. Sanchez and United are starting to mold. Despite being hated by the press, this week they go up against a 17th placed Palace side. Crystal Palace have failed to win their last 5 matches and are starting to slip back into the danger zone (having done so well initially to claw themselves out of it). Alli and Tottenham face Huddersfield with the added upside of potentially being included in GW31 (low odds but still – at time of writing we are still waiting). Mkhitaryan and Arsenal continue to fall by the wayside having lost the EFL cup to City. Nonetheless, we think Arsenal assets are poised to start returning here given their next fixtures are Brighton, Watford, Stoke, Southampton, Newcastle, West Ham, and a Leicester City replay.
Defensively, Leicester, Tottenham, Liverpool, Arsenal, and United are all considerations. We think Arsenal is currently the most interesting of the lot, given their recent performance has been terrible, managers are moving off of their players, and their fixture schedule is only improving. Despite a weak performance over the weekend, on a go forward basis, their fixtures are likely one of the best among the top 6 clubs. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Leicester’s last 3 home games, which bodes well for LEI defenders. Tottenham have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches and they are up against a weak Huddersfield offensive side.