The Bookies Report – Gameweek 16

Forget the previews, the selections and predicted line-ups. If you’re looking to play some of your boosts’ then this is the article you need to read. With the deadline coming fast for you to play your 1st of 2 Wildcards, it might be the right time to get involved and give your team the points booster they need to bring you back in contention or to extend your lead at the top. As always, we take a look at our table of win odds, clean sheet odds and anytime goal-scorer odds for midfielders and forwards to give you the best chance of making the right selections for your teams. Due to a jam-packed fixture list of late we missed out on last game-weeks best bookies side but we’re back this week with an awesome line-up destined to provide you with a strong score in game-week 16.

 

Firstly, the win odds which provide the platform for our game-week selection:

 

Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur head our bill of teams to win this week at equal odds of 1/4 on against Everton in the Merseyside derby and Stoke City respectively.

Chelsea are away at West Ham this week and look certain to win also at 1/2 on

 

with Arsenal not far behind in the betting in their match away at Southampton with the bookies pricing their win at 10/11 on.

Palace look to continue their 4-match unbeaten run at home to Bournemouth with surprise odds of EVENS so it may be a good week to include some of their players.

In the biggest match of the season so far, the bookies make City favourites to take the win away at main rivals United at 11/10 in the 4.30pm kick-off at Old Trafford.



Secondly, the clean-sheet odds which give us our grasp on which defensive players will feature:

 

Chelsea and Liverpool represent this game-weeks best chance of keeping a shut-out at EVENS with Spurs just behind them at 10/11 on.

Palace see themselves priced as the 4th most likely team to obtain a blank sheet along with Huddersfield Town who have the same odds of 7/5.

These 5 teams will make the bulk of our back-line as the bookies suggest they have the most likely chance of earning our defensive points.

We’ve clearly steered clear of Everton and Stoke who have the least likely chance of stopping their opposition scoring.

With one of the best defensive records in the league United are way down the table due to their upcoming match at home to free-scoring City.

 

 

Let’s begin our Starting Line-Up for Game-Week 16 with our defensive selections:

Goalkeeper

Simon Mignolet – £4.9m – Liverpool

As we know, Chelsea and Liverpool occupy the biggest chance of a clean-sheet this weekend, so we had to pick a goalkeeper from one of these two clubs. Courtois has kept 7 clean sheets for his club this season and would seem the obvious choice but Mignolet is considerably cheaper by £0.6m and allowed us to spend more in other areas of the pitch. The Liverpool stopper has himself managed to keep 5 clean sheets so far, this season (the same amount as Hugo Lloris) and being as Klopp doesn’t know what his best defence looks like, Mignolet has remained a permanent fixture in his set-up. He’s earned himself 48 points already and the bookies believe he will definitely add to that total in their passionate, derby clash on Merseyside against fierce local rivals Everton.



Defence

Andreas Christensen – £5.5m – Chelsea

We had to bring in a Blues defender here based on those clean-sheet odds. Again, we’ve tried to find the value to try and save money for the big hitters up top and in the Dane, we think we’ve found it. Since coming into the side replacing the badly-behaved David Luiz, Christensen has installed himself as a permanent and comfortable player for Antonio Conte managing to help his team to 4 clean sheets during the 9 games he’s played in. He has a points total of 36 pts which is very good considering his initially limited game-time but looks likely to add to this in his teams match at the London Stadium.

Jan Vertonghen – £6.1m – Tottenham Hotspur

With Spurs 3rd in our list of bookies clean sheet odds, we needed to bring in someone from their back-line. Unable to determine which full-backs would most likely play, we’ve gone for the stalwart at the heart of defence who has not missed a single match this season. With Alderweireld and Sanchez both out and with Dier being classed as a midfielder we are left with this solid option. Although they have been shaky of late, Spurs still boast one of the best defences in the league contributed by the 6 clean sheets Vertonghen has produced, combined with his 1 assist giving him a total points tally of 52 pts.

Mamadou Sakho – £4.9m – Crystal Palace

Some would consider this a surprise selection but we’ve gone with the odds on this one. As you know, Palace are the 4th most likely team to keep a clean sheet this week and upon taking a look at the Palace defenders, Sakho was the stand-out option. He’s made his way to the top of the Palace points-earners after his recent performances during his side’s revival. In the 9 matches Sakho has featured in he’s managed to fetch 2 clean sheets, 1 goal and an assist resulting in a total tally so far, of 39 pts, more than Christensen of Chelsea.

Zanka – £4.5m – Huddersfield Town

Terriers players never usually feature in our defensive units due to their poor odds but it’s not every week they play at home to Brighton. For this reason, they are priced at 7/5 (the same as Palace) and so we’ve plumped for Huddersfield rock Mathias Jorgensen who has featured in every game for Huddersfield this season, helping them to 5 clean sheets and 1 assist giving him a total points tally of 43 pts. Again, this cheaper option means we can spend more on our offensive choices without compromising the back-line.



Lastly, we analyse the anytime goal-scorer odds for midfield and forward options:

Midfield

Phillipe Coutinho – £8.9m – Liverpool

The Brazilian maestro has been in terrific form of late and it was a tough decision to leave Salah out who is in frightening form of late, but we went for Coutinho, so we could squeeze another premium midfielder into our team. With Liverpool the most likely team to win this game-week and with Coutinho the 2nd most likely midfielder to score at 21/20 it makes perfect sense to include him here. In the 8 matches he’s played in this season, he’s scored 4 goals and assisted 5 showing just how impressive he can be and we’re hoping he can continue this form during the Merseyside derby.

Eden Hazard – £10.8m – Chelsea

Joining Coutinho in our midfield is the Chelsea dynamo, Hazard who has been in electrifying form of late. The bookies sense this also and is why he is the 4th most likely midfielder to net in this game-week. His stats boast 5 goals and 3 assists in the 12 matches he’s played in already accumulating a total of 68 points. Since returning from injury he’s been brought back into a shed load of teams so we’ve joined the band-wagon in hoping he can score once more in Chelsea’s tie at West Ham.

Aaron Ramsey – £7.2m – Arsenal

Seemingly going unnoticed amongst the talent in the Gunners ranks is the Welshman who has established himself as the highest points scorer in the team with 79 pts in total. His contribution of 3 goals combined with a massive 8 assists has made him pivotal to the way that Arsenal perform and at 14/5 to score anytime this game-week, we had to include him at this price. With Arsenal’s win odds looking very strong and their clean sheet odds good too, we expect Ramsey to continue his scoring streak.



Wilfried Zaha – £6.9m – Crystal Palace

Our last midfielder is well known to the bookies report squad having been selected on many occasions due to his short odds of scoring in tandem with his cheap asking price. Zaha poses the most obvious threat for his side and at 7/4 is the 9th most likely midfielder to score in this game-week. In the 9 matches he’s played in, most of which as a make-shift striker, he’s accumulated 3 goals and a total of 36 points and the bookies expect him to add to this total in their match against Bournemouth at Selhurst Park.

Attack

Roberto Firmino – £8.5m – Liverpool

The Liverpool striker hasn’t been in blistering form but after his 2 goals against Brighton, will be in confident mood. The bookies make him the 2nd most likely forward to score in this game-week and again, from a value for money point of view, this makes total sense. Liverpool are the most likely team to win this game-week as we know so Firmino has every chance of justifying this selection. A hard-working team-player who has so far, supplied 5 goals and 3 assists in 14 games for the Kop will be keen to add to his 67 points this season.

Harry Kane – £12.8m – Tottenham Hotspur

The Spurs hitman once again finds himself in our game-week team due to his extremely short price. He is the most likely player to score in GW16 at 11/10 and with a home game against Stoke, looks certain to add to his 10 goals and 1 assist in the 14 games he’s featured in. His total of 82 points makes him the 7th highest points scorer in the game and the bookies feel that after their match at Wembley, he will be climbing even higher. Once again, he captains the side.



Bench

Julian Speroni – £4.0m – Crystal Palace

Christopher Schindler – £4.6m – Huddersfield Town

Demarai Gray – £5.3m – Leicester City

Aleksandar Mitrovic – £4.8m – Newcastle United

 

 

Please leave a comment and let us know what you think of #TheBookiesReport. We love hearing your views on if you agree, disagree and what changes YOU would make.

Please note: This report is based on the odds provided at the time of the article and could be subject to variance.

Many thanks for reading and may the odds be ever in your favour.

By Ashley Nugent



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